Adriana Tkachenko vs Zhanel Rustemova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Tkachenko has achieved a second serve point win rate of 39.61%, while Rustemova has unfortunately not won any points in this area. What does this mean for their match? Such statistics highlight Tkachenko's edge.
• Analyzing return games, Tkachenko wins 46.36% of points on the opponent's second serve, showcasing a substantial advantage over Rustemova, who again has not secured any point.
• Regarding first serve returns, the stats are similar: Tkachenko scores 37.34% compared to Rustemova's 0%. Who is favored here? Clearly, Tkachenko is the front-runner.
• In pressure situations, Tkachenko has managed to save 41.51% of breakpoints, contrasted with Rustemova's 0%, revealing a significant discrepancy in handling crucial points.
• Over the past year, Tkachenko's match win percentage stands at 61.76% with a record of 21 wins and 13 losses, whereas Rustemova's win percentage is slightly higher at 66.67% but achieved with much fewer matches (2 wins, 1 loss). What does the wider experience suggest? Tkachenko's richer match experience could prove advantageous.
• On their preferred surface, clay, Tkachenko has a win rate of 58%, whereas Rustemova fares slightly less with 49%. Is Tkachenko the stronger player on clay? The stats indicate so.
• Throughout the last year, both players have competed mostly in lower-tier tournaments, achieving an equal win rate of 66.67% in those events, although with Rustemova having played far fewer matches.
• Considering opponent caliber, Tkachenko has faced players with a reasonable average rank of 94.65, suggesting more experience against top-level opponents compared to Rustemova's data which involves no ranked competitions.
• In matches extending to a deciding set, Tkachenko wins 50% of such sets, a decisive advantage over Rustemova who has not won any deciding sets.
• Looking at breakpoint conversion, Tkachenko converts 44.59% of opportunities, whereas Rustemova has yet to convert any, lending another point of advantage to Tkachenko.

Editorial Prediction (August 4, 2025, UTC):

As the upcoming match approaches, the statistical patterns distinctly favor Tkachenko. Their superior second serve performance and effective return game suggest a tactical edge.

While both players have demonstrated competence in futures tournaments, Tkachenko's broader experience and encounters with higher-ranked opponents may prove critical.

Moreover, their higher breakpoint conversion rate and ability to handle pressure by saving breakpoints should help navigate critical moments in the match.

Considering these insights, Tkachenko appears to be the more likely winner of this encounter.